Use our Negative Binomial Distribution Calculator to find exact or cumulative probabilities of failures before a set number of successes. Step-by-step solutions for students and professionals.
Negative Binomial Distribution Calculator
View Also – Binomial distribution calculator
Welcome To Our Negative Binomial Distribution Calculator
The Negative Binomial Distribution Calculator is a powerful tool for students, researchers, and professionals to calculate probabilities of failures before achieving a fixed number of successes. This online calculator simplifies complex computations, providing exact and cumulative probabilities with step-by-step explanations.

What is the Negative Binomial Distribution?
The negative binomial distribution models the number of failures (x) before a specified number of successes (r) occurs in a series of independent trials. Unlike the binomial distribution, which counts the number of successes in fixed trials, the negative binomial focuses on failures until the success target is met.
Key Parameters:
- x = number of failures
- r = number of required successes
- p = probability of success on a single trial
- q = 1 – p = probability of failure
Negative Binomial Probability Formula
The negative binomial probability formula calculates the probability of exactly x failures before r successes:
P(X = x) = C(x + r – 1, r – 1) * p^r * q^x
Where C represents combinations.
What is a Negative Binomial Distribution Calculator?
A negative binomial distribution calculator automates this formula. Simply input:
- Number of required successes (r)
- Probability of success (p)
- Number of failures (x)
The calculator provides:
- Exact probability for X = x
- Optional cumulative probability up to X = x
This tool saves time and reduces manual calculation errors.
Why Use a Negative Binomial Calculator?
- Eliminates human errors in calculations
- Provides step-by-step solutions
- Calculates individual and cumulative probabilities
- Ideal for students, teachers, and professionals analyzing statistical data
Use Cases of Negative Binomial Distribution
| Field | Application |
| Healthcare | Modeling time until a disease is cured after treatments |
| Quality Control | Estimating defective items before reaching a target of functioning units |
| Sports | Predicting failures (missed shots) before a fixed number of successful goals |
| Marketing | Number of failed calls before reaching a set number of successful leads |
How to Use the Negative Binomial Distribution Calculator
Inputs:
- r: Number of required successes
- p: Probability of success
- x: Number of failures before success
Outputs:
- P(X = x): Probability of exactly x failures
- P(X ≤ x): Optional cumulative probability
Example 1: Exact Probability
A basketball player has a 40% chance of making a free throw. What is the probability that he will miss 3 times before making 2 successful throws?
Given:
- r = 2
- p = 0.4
- x = 3
The calculator provides P(X = 3) = 0.2304 (approx).
Example 2: Cumulative Probability
Using the same scenario, what is the probability of having 3 or fewer failures before 2 successful throws?
Sum probabilities from x = 0 to x = 3 using the cumulative option.
Result: P(X ≤ 3) ≈ 76.4%
Comparison: Binomial vs Negative Binomial
| Feature | Binomial Distribution | Negative Binomial Distribution |
| Fixed number of trials | Yes | No |
| Fixed number of successes | No | Yes |
| Random variable | Successes | Failures |
| Use case | Predict successes in fixed trials | Predict failures before reaching success target |
FAQ – Negative Binomial Distribution Calculator
Q1. What is the difference between binomial and negative binomial distributions?
The binomial distribution counts successes in a fixed number of trials. The negative binomial counts failures before a set number of successes occurs.
Q2. Can this calculator compute cumulative probabilities?
Yes. Use the cumulative option to calculate P(X ≤ x).
Q3. Can I use decimal values for the success probability?
Yes, probabilities like 0.25, 0.5, or 0.85 are fully supported.
Q4. Is this calculator suitable for academic use?
Absolutely. It follows standard statistical definitions and is ideal for students, teachers, and researchers.
Q5. What happens if I input invalid values?
Values outside the valid range (e.g., negative numbers or probability >1) will return an error or a probability of 0.
Conclusion
The Negative Binomial Distribution Calculator simplifies complex probability calculations by providing accurate and fast results. Whether you need exact or cumulative probabilities, this tool ensures clarity and confidence in analyzing real-world events governed by negative binomial behavior.
It is perfect for academic, research, and professional applications where understanding failure patterns before success is crucial.
Disclaimer
This tool is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be used as the sole decision-making resource for professional analyses. Users should verify results independently or consult a statistician for high-stakes applications.